This year, for the first time ever, I’ve placed a series of small bets on the Academy Awards. I’m not a gambler, but I felt like having a flutter on the Oscars – mostly because I’ve watched very few of this year’s nominees (I’ve been very busy as of late).
I figured that as I’m not that familiar with many of the nominees, I might as well just have a little fun with who might win. I also took a look at the odds to help inform my choices.
Yeah, the odds on some of the nominees weren’t great. If I placed a small bet on many of the favourites it really wouldn’t be worth my time gambling.
For this reason I’ve mostly picked the outsiders. If the underdogs win, then I win too and who doesn’t want an underdog to win?
Here’s what I’ve plumped for and why:
Best Picture – Vice
Honestly, I don’t expect Vice to win, I believe Roma or Green Book will take this award (based on the sheer amount of press/buzz surrounding the films), but the odds on Vice offered the biggest pay out. The odds on Roma or Green Book were honestly not worth bothering with. So… Vice to win (please).
Best Actress – Yalitza Aparicio
OK, once again, betting on the favourites (Glenn Close and Olivia Colman) didn’t offer great payouts, so I decided to take a different route with this. Taking these two out of the equation, I figure that if Roma wins Best Picture (and it probably will), then Roma actress, Yalitza Aparicio could pick up the Best Actress win. Worth a punt, right?
Best Adapted Screenplay – The Ballard of Buster Scruggs
The Ballard of Buster Scruggs won the Best Screenplay Award at the Venice Film Festival and the film is written by the Coen brothers. These are good indicators, right? OK, so this film is the complete outsider, but I’m taking a chance on it.
Best Original Song – The Ballard of Buster Scruggs
Sticking with The Ballard of Buster Scruggs, this is my choice for Best Original Song too. The likelihood is that A Star is Born will nail this category, but as I’m going with Scruggs for screenplay, I’m standing by it for song too.
Best Supporting Actor – Sam Rockwell
Sam Rockwell is the only actor from the Best Supporting Actor category to have appeared in a Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles movie (he was briefly in the 1990 film). For this reason and pretty much this reason alone, I’ve put my money on Rockwell. Is this a valid reason for a bet?
Best Supporting Actress – Emma Stone
I love Emma Stone. But that’s not the reason I’ve picked her as my winner for this category. If The Favourite does well in its respective categories, then Stone could follow suit. Clutching at straws? Maybe. Come on, Stone!
Best Sound Mixing – Black Panther
This is the only film from my choices that I’ve actually watched. Shocking, I know. So why have I picked Black Panther for Best Sound Mixing rather than Best Picture? Well, as much as I’d like Black Panther to win Best Picture, I don’t think it will. However, super hero/comic book movies do tend to do well with technical awards, so I feel like this could be Panther‘s award.
Best Film Editing – Green Book
And finally, I’ve picked Green Book to win the award for Best Film Editing. As with most of my choices, it’s the outsider, but if Green Book wins Best Picture then why couldn’t it also pick up Best Film Editing?
So, those are my ‘bets’. Out of all the categories, I’ve picked eight nominees to bet on.
I must add these are very, very small bets – nothing to break the bank. But let’s see what happens.
Well… I didn’t win.
I really didn’t expect to win. The odds were against me and the majority of my bets were all of the outsiders.
Congratulations to all who won. Commiserations to all those who placed bets and lost out. I feel your pain.